Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Victory
Apr 27, 2024 10.45am
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Western Sydney
  • Zinedine Machach 4' goal
  • Chris Ikonomidis 7' yellowcard
  • Daniel Arzani 15' goal
  • Connor Chapman 17' yellowcard
  • Daniel Arzani 55' goal
  • yellowcard Oscar Priestman 19'
  • goal Lachlan Brook 20'
  • goal Nicolas Milanovic 35'
  • yellowcard Jack Clisby 45'+3'
  • goal Aydan Hammond 73'
  • goal Oscar Priestman 87'

Melbourne Victory vs Western Sydney Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 8.30am
Victory 0 - 0 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Bruno Fornaroli

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 6.30am
Western Sydney 1 - 2 Melbourne City
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Lachlan Brook

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.74%) and 1-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne Victory 52.56% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 21.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Western Sydney Wanderers 26.05% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.32% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.59% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 33.41% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 44.8% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 55.19% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 26.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 73.87% ▲ (+0.05)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 86.99% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 13% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 60.46% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 39.53% ▲ (+0.06)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 75.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.54% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 52.56%
Draw 21.39%
Western Sydney Wanderers 26.05%
Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 6.74%
1-0 @ 6.61% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.43% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 52.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 21.39%
Western Sydney Wanderers
1-2 @ 6.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05%
1-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 26.05%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Western Sydney
Dec 10, 2023 6.00am
3
4
HT : 0 4
FT Spotless Stadium
Victory
  • Marcus Antonsson 57' goal
  • Marcus Antonsson 57' goal
  • Nicolas Milanovic 71' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Milanovic 71' yellowcard
  • Marcus Antonsson 88' goal
  • Marcus Antonsson 88' goal
  • Valentino Yuel 90'+1' goal
  • Valentino Yuel 90'+1' goal
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 8'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 8'
  • yellowcard Zinedine Machach 32'
  • yellowcard Zinedine Machach 32'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 45'+1'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 45'+1'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 51'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 51'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 74'
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 74'
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Western Sydney
Apr 15, 2023 10.45am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Spotless Stadium
Victory
  • Brandon Borrello 45'+1' goal
  • Amor Layouni 81' goal
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 56'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Victory
Oct 15, 2022 9.45am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT AAMI Park
Western Sydney
  • goal Tomislav Mrcela 41'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Victory
Mar 27, 2022 9.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Western Sydney
  • Brendan Hamill 68' yellowcard
  • Roderick Miranda 88' redcard
  • Jason Davidson 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Steven Ugarkovic 79'
  • goal Steven Ugarkovic 90'+6'
Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Western Sydney
Feb 16, 2022 8.55am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Victory
  • Tate Russell 55' goal
  • Dimitri Petratos 80' goal
  • Phillip Cancar 89' yellowcard
  • Daniel Margush 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Kelava 80'
Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Victory
Apr 23, 2021 10.05am
5
4
HT : 3 1
FT
Western Sydney
  • Ben Folami 14' goal
  • Storm Roux 28' goal
  • Ben Folami 45'+3' goal
  • Callum McManaman 55' yellowcard
  • Rudy Gestede 56' yellowcard
  • Dylan Ryan 63' goal
  • Jacob Butterfield 73' goal
  • Robbie Kruse 76' yellowcard
  • Matt Acton 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal James Troisi 31'
  • yellowcard Dylan McGowan 45'+2'
  • goal Graham Dorrans 76'
  • goal Mitchell Duke 86'
  • goal Nicolai Muller 88'
  • yellowcard Patrick Ziegler 90'

Form Data

Victory 0 - 0 Brisbane Roar
Wellington 1 - 0 Victory
Victory 2 - 1 Melbourne City
Victory 2 - 1 Perth Glory
Western Utd 2 - 2 Victory
Adelaide United 1 - 2 Victory
Western Sydney 1 - 2 Melbourne City
Sydney FC 2 - 1 Western Sydney
Western Sydney 1 - 2 Brisbane Roar
Macarthur 1 - 3 Western Sydney
Perth Glory 1 - 2 Western Sydney
Melbourne City 7 - 0 Western Sydney