Australian A-League | Gameweek 22

Apr 1, 2024 at 5am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
1 - 3
Western Sydney

Millar (86', 86')
Germain (34'), Germain (34'), Jurman (45+6'), Jurman (45+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Milanovic (57', 57'), Kittel (65', 65'), Hendrix (70', 70')
Beadling (18'), Beadling (18'), Priestman (38'), Priestman (38'), Milanovic (90+8'), Milanovic (90+8')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Western Sydney Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-2 Macarthur
Saturday, March 16 at 5am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 1-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, March 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.17%) and 3-1 (4.94%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
40.35% ( -0.02)	22.07% ( -0.01)	37.57% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 69.06% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.97% (

0.07)

31.03% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.57% (

0.08)

52.42% (

-0.08)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.68% (

0.03)

16.32% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.1% (

0.04)

45.9% (

-0.04)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.53% (

0.05)

17.47% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.05% (

0.07)

47.95% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 40.35%

Western Sydney Wanderers 37.58%

Draw 22.07%

Macarthur	Draw	Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 40.35%	1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.07%	1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 37.58%