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Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Apr 28, 2024 at 8am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Western United

Melbourne City
1 - 0
Western Utd

MacLaren (19')
Leckie (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Donachie (66')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 20 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Perth Glory 3-4 Western Utd
Sunday, April 21 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 72.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Western United had a probability of 13.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Western United win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
72.19% (0.13499999999999 0.13)14.75% (-0.036 -0.04)13.05% (-0.096 -0.1)
Both teams to score 67.07% (-0.15400000000001 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
78.6% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)21.4% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
59.93% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)40.06% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)5.28% (-0.0068999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.17% (0.022000000000006 0.02)20.83% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.82% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)29.18% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.88% (-0.204 -0.2)65.12% (0.20700000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 72.19%
    Western United 13.05%
    Draw 14.75%
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 8.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 8.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.67% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.53% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.96% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.8% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 4.54% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
4-2 @ 3.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 3.48% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.82% (0.018 0.02)
5-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.7% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-3 @ 1.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
6-2 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 72.19%
1-1 @ 5.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 1.54% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 14.75%
1-2 @ 3.44% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 1.9%
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 13.05%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 6am
Gameweek 11
Western Utd
1-2
Melbourne City
Ruhs (13')
Lustica (50'), Thurgate (82')
Sakhi (52'), Antonis (83')
Oct 21, 2023 7.30am
Gameweek 1
Melbourne City
1-2
Western Utd
Arslan (62')
Sakhi (73'), Talbot (90+4')
Wales (60'), Botic (87' pen.)
Risdon (5'), Penha (53')
Apr 22, 2023 10.45am
Gameweek 25
Western Utd
1-3
Melbourne City
Pierias (38')
MacLaren (13', 66', 74')
> Preview
Jan 7, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 11
Melbourne City
4-0
Western Utd
Tilio (9'), Lacroix (12' og.), MacLaren (25'), Nabbout (84')
> Preview
Oct 7, 2022 9.45am
Gameweek 1
Melbourne City
2-1
Western Utd
Lacroix (38' og.), MacLaren (59')
Milanovic (90+2')