Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 28, 2024 8.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Jamie MacLaren 19' goal
  • Mathew Leckie 28' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Donachie 66'

Melbourne City vs Western United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 6.30am
Western Sydney 1 - 2 Melbourne City
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Tolgay Arslan

Western United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 21, 2024 8.00am
Perth Glory 3 - 4 Western Utd
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Michael Ruhs

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 72.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Western United had a probability of 13.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.59%), while for a Western United win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result

Melbourne City 72.19% (+0.14)
Draw 14.75% (-0.04)
Western United 13.05% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.07% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 78.6% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 21.4% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 59.93% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 40.06% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 40.46% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 59.53% (+0.09)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 94.71% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 5.28% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 79.17% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 20.83% (-0.02)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5 70.82% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 29.18% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 34.88% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 65.12% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 72.19%
Draw 14.75%
Western United 13.05%
Melbourne City
2-1 @ 8.21% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 8.05% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.67% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 6.53% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 5.92% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.96% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.8% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 4.54% (+0.03)
4-2 @ 3.64% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 3.48% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.82% (+0.02)
5-2 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
6-2 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.8%
Total : 72.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.59% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 14.75%
Western United
1-2 @ 3.44% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 1.9%
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 13.05%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 7, 2024 6.00am
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Michael Ruhs 13' goal
  • Michael Ruhs 13' goal
  • Steven Lustica 50' yellowcard
  • Steven Lustica 50' yellowcard
  • Angus Thurgate 82' yellowcard
  • Angus Thurgate 82' yellowcard
  • goal Hamza Sakhi 52'
  • goal Hamza Sakhi 52'
  • goal Terry Antonis 83'
  • goal Terry Antonis 83'
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Oct 21, 2023 7.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Tolgay Arslan 62' goal
  • Hamza Sakhi 73' yellowcard
  • Callum Talbot 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Risdon 5'
  • yellowcard Daniel Penha 53'
  • goal Lachlan Wales 60'
  • goal Noah Botic 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Apr 22, 2023 10.45am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Whitten Oval
  • Dylan Pierias 38' goal
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 13'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 66'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 74'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 7, 2023 8.45am
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Marco Tilio 9' goal
  • Leo Lacroix 12' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 25' goal
  • Andrew Nabbout 84' goal
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Oct 7, 2022 9.45am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Leo Lacroix 38' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 59' goal
  • goal Nicolas Milanovic 90'+2'
Australian A-League
May 28, 2022 10.45am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT AAMI Park
  • goal Nuno Reis 2' (OG)
  • goal Aleksandar Prijovic 30'
  • yellowcard Dylan Wenzel-Halls 65'
  • yellowcard Lachlan Wales 84'