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Perth Glory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 21, 2024 at 8am UK
HBF Park
Western United

Perth Glory
3 - 4
Western Utd

Taggart (23', 47'), Williams (90+3')
Colli (45'), Amini (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grimaldi (4'), Danzaki (65'), Walatee (74'), Lavale (90+2')
Lustica (6'), Grimaldi (54'), Pasquali (90+5')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 8-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 14 at 6am in Australian A-League

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 3-3 Adelaide United
Tuesday, April 16 at 10am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.4%) and 2-3 (4.97%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Perth GloryDrawWestern United
35.49% (1.663 1.66)20.91% (0.4 0.4)43.59% (-2.061 -2.06)
Both teams to score 73.31% (-1.028 -1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.56% (-1.503 -1.5)25.44% (1.505 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.51% (-1.974 -1.97)45.49% (1.975 1.97)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.15% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)15.85% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.96% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)45.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.12% (-1.218 -1.22)12.88% (1.222 1.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.73% (-2.561 -2.56)39.27% (2.563 2.56)
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 35.49%
    Western United 43.59%
    Draw 20.91%
Perth GloryDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 7.1% (0.361 0.36)
3-2 @ 4.47% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.36% (0.221 0.22)
1-0 @ 3.76% (0.357 0.36)
2-0 @ 3.46% (0.328 0.33)
3-0 @ 2.13% (0.201 0.2)
4-2 @ 2.06% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.102 0.1)
4-3 @ 1.41% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 35.49%
1-1 @ 7.71% (0.392 0.39)
2-2 @ 7.27% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 3.05% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-0 @ 2.04% (0.194 0.19)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 20.91%
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.4% (-0.236 -0.24)
2-3 @ 4.97% (-0.217 -0.22)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.18% (0.213 0.21)
0-3 @ 2.93% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 2.77% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-4 @ 2.55% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-4 @ 1.56% (-0.147 -0.15)
0-4 @ 1.5% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-5 @ 1.13% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-5 @ 1.04% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 43.59%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 6am
Gameweek 19
Western Utd
1-0
Perth Glory
Botic (53')
Garuccio (90+4')

Rawlins (33')
Apr 29, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 26
Perth Glory
1-2
Western Utd
Jelacic (45')
Garuccio (25'), Botic (53')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 6am
Gameweek 19
Western Utd
2-1
Perth Glory
Doumbia (42'), Botic (45+3')
Elsey (22')
> Preview
Dec 10, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 7
Perth Glory
2-1
Western Utd
Williams (14'), Clisby (52')
Kilkenny (83')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2022 8.05am
Gameweek 24
Western Utd
6-0
Perth Glory
Wales (25', 27', 45+3'), Pierias (34'), Prijovic (52' pen.), Wenzel-Halls (83')

Colli (32')