Australian A-League | Gameweek 24

Apr 13, 2024 at 6.30am UK

GMHBA Stadium

Western Utd
0 - 2
Central Coast

Wales (29'), Wales (29')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Balard (51', 51'), Theoharous (80', 80')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 4-2 Macarthur
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Wellington
Saturday, April 6 at 7.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Western United had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
27.5% ( -0.04)	22.25% ( 0.15)	50.25% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 63.53% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.66% (

-0.77)

36.34% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.53% (

-0.85)

58.46% (

0.84)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54% (

-0.43)

25.46% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71% (

-0.59)

60.29% (

0.59)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.23% (

-0.31)

14.77% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.97% (

-0.6)

43.02% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Western United 27.5%

Central Coast Mariners 50.25%

Draw 22.25%

Western United	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.5%	1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.25%	1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 6% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.26% Total : 50.25%