Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Western United had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
27.5% ( -0.04) | 22.25% ( 0.15) | 50.25% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 63.53% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.66% ( -0.77) | 36.34% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.53% ( -0.85) | 58.46% ( 0.84) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.54% ( -0.43) | 25.46% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.71% ( -0.59) | 60.29% ( 0.59) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.23% ( -0.31) | 14.77% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.97% ( -0.6) | 43.02% ( 0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 27.5% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 6% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.26% Total : 50.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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