Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Western United had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.04%) and 0-1 (4.94%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Adelaide United |
37.2% ( -0.85) | 21.81% ( 0.2) | 40.99% ( 0.65) |
Both teams to score 70.05% ( -0.93) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.26% ( -1.16) | 29.74% ( 1.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.12% ( -1.41) | 50.88% ( 1.41) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.94% ( -0.86) | 17.06% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.76% ( -1.55) | 47.23% ( 1.55) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.46% ( -0.24) | 15.54% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.53% ( -0.44) | 44.46% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.13) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.3% Total : 37.2% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) 3-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) Other @ 4% Total : 40.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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