Australian A-League | Gameweek 13

Apr 16, 2024 at 10am UK

GMHBA Stadium

Western Utd
3 - 3
Adelaide United

Grimaldi (19'), Donachie (34'), O'Toole (90+4')
Donachie (3'), O'Toole (45+6'), Pasquali (73'), Najdovski (88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Ibusuki (45+7' pen., 57'), Irankunda (62')
Mauk (72'), Irankunda (84'), Halloran (90+4')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 0-2 Central Coast
Saturday, April 13 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Macarthur
Friday, April 12 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Western United had a probability of 37.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.04%) and 0-1 (4.94%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Western United	Draw	Adelaide United
37.2% ( -0.85)	21.81% ( 0.2)	40.99% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 70.05% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.26% (

-1.16)

29.74% (

1.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.12% (

-1.41)

50.88% (

1.41)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94% (

-0.86)

17.06% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.76% (

-1.55)

47.23% (

1.55)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.46% (

-0.24)

15.54% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.53% (

-0.44)

44.46% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Western United 37.2%

Adelaide United 40.99%

Draw 21.81%

Western United	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.13) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.3% Total : 37.2%	1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.81%	1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 4.46% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) 3-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) Other @ 4% Total : 40.99%