Australian A-League | Gameweek 24

Apr 12, 2024 at 10.45am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
1 - 2
Macarthur

Irankunda (20')
Veart (28')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Piol (84'), Smith (88')
Sterjovski (0'), Drew (27'), M'Mombwa (90+1')
Nicolaou (73')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-4 Adelaide United
Sunday, April 7 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 4-2 Macarthur
Saturday, April 6 at 5.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.27%) and 3-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Macarthur
51.81% ( 0.15)	19.44% ( -0.04)	28.74% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 75.52% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

78.61% (

0.11)

21.39% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

59.95% (

0.15)

40.04% (

-0.15)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.88% (

0.07)

9.12% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.04% (

0.17)

30.95% (

-0.17)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.1% (

16.9% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.05% (

46.95% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 51.81%

Macarthur 28.74%

Draw 19.44%

Adelaide United	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 5-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.93% Total : 51.81%	2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.05% Total : 19.44%	1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.84% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.86% Total : 28.74%