Australian A-League | Gameweek 1

Oct 19, 2024 at 7am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
0 - 1
Melbourne City

Adams (40'), Adams (40'), Grozos (65'), Grozos (65'), Schreiber (90'), Aquilina (90')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Tilio (2', 2')
Talbot (4'), Talbot (4'), Cohen (33'), Cohen (33'), Ugarkovic (51'), Ugarkovic (51'), Politidis (89'), Schreiber (89'), Aquilina (90'), Politidis (90')
Jeggo (70'), Jeggo (70')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-4 Sydney FC
Thursday, July 18 at 7am in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 1-1 Melbourne City (3-2 pen.)
Sunday, May 5 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.67%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Melbourne City
25.34% ( -0.11)	20.29% ( -0.01)	54.37% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 68.8% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.4% (

-0.06)

28.6% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.51% (

-0.07)

49.49% (

0.07)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.2% (

-0.1)

22.79% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.5% (

-0.15)

56.5% (

0.15)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.11% (

0.01)

10.88% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.98% (

0.02)

35.02% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 25.34%

Melbourne City 54.37%

Draw 20.29%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 25.34%	1-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.57% Total : 20.29%	1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.73% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.21% 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.39% Total : 54.37%