Australian A-League | Gameweek 26

Apr 27, 2024 at 8.15am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
1 - 3
Central Coast

Stamatelopoulos (47')
Ingham (43'), Grozos (50'), Cancar (72'), Wilmering (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kuol (21'), Steele (82'), Edmondson (86')
Theoharous (32')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Wellington
Friday, April 19 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 0-2 Central Coast
Saturday, April 13 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 58.45%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 21.11% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 0-1 (7.36%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (5.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
21.11% ( -0.26)	20.44% ( -0.12)	58.45% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 62.39% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.52% (

0.22)

34.48% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.59% (

0.25)

56.41% (

-0.25)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.63% (

-0.1)

29.36% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.65% (

-0.12)

65.34% (

0.13)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.33% (

0.18)

11.67% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.27% (

0.37)

36.73% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 21.11%

Central Coast Mariners 58.45%

Draw 20.44%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 21.11%	1-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 20.44%	1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.94% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.66% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.73% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 58.45%