Australian A-League | Gameweek 25

Apr 19, 2024 at 10.45am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
1 - 1
Wellington

Paulsen (15' og.)
Timmins (17'), Cancar (65'), Jenkinson (66'), Ingham (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Barbarouses (71')
Wootton (68')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, April 13 at 8.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Victory
Friday, April 12 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
44.7% ( 0.15)	22.6% ( -0.02)	32.7% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 65.63% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.01% (

0.04)

34.98% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.03% (

0.04)

56.97% (

-0.04)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.76% (

0.07)

16.24% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.25% (

0.13)

45.75% (

-0.13)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.35% (

-0.05)

21.65% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.22% (

-0.09)

54.77% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 44.7%

Wellington Phoenix 32.7%

Draw 22.6%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 3.71% Total : 44.7%	1-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.1% Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.6%	1-2 @ 7.48% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.55% Total : 32.7%