Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 at 10.30am UK
Green Gully Reserve
Melbourne Victory

Green Gully
2 - 6
Victory

FT
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Green Gully and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Green Gully

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 3-1 Victory
Saturday, May 25 at 10.55am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 62.35%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Green Gully had a probability of 18.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 1-3 (7.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Green Gully win it was 2-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Green GullyDrawMelbourne Victory
18.59% (-0.038 -0.04)19.06% (0.025000000000002 0.03)62.35% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.09% (-0.187 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.34% (-0.202 -0.2)31.65% (0.198 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.84% (-0.238 -0.24)53.16% (0.235 0.23)
Green Gully Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.97% (-0.164 -0.16)30.03% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.84% (-0.19499999999999 -0.19)66.15% (0.19300000000001 0.19)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.17% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)9.82% (0.054 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.38% (-0.128 -0.13)32.62% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Green Gully 18.59%
    Melbourne Victory 62.35%
    Draw 19.06%
Green GullyDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 3.55% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 18.59%
1-1 @ 8.23% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.95% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 19.06%
1-2 @ 9.55% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.94% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.39% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.85% (0.058 0.06)
0-3 @ 6.14% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-3 @ 4.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-4 @ 4.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.56% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-5 @ 1.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 62.35%