Australian A-League | Gameweek 1

Oct 18, 2024 at 9.35am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
0 - 0
Victory

McCalmont (53')

Teague (4'), Geria (33'), Duncan (90+6')
Miranda (60')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 3-1 Victory
Saturday, May 25 at 10.55am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Victory 2-0 Altona Magic
Wednesday, August 14 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne Victory
29.66% ( 1.49)	24.58% ( -0.09)	45.76% ( -1.4)

Both teams to score 56.89% (

1.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.22% (

1.25)

45.78% (

-1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.9% (

1.18)

68.1% (

-1.18)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.2% (

1.7)

28.8% (

-1.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.35% (

2.07)

64.65% (

-2.07)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.9% (

-0.09)

20.1% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.65% (

-0.14)

52.35% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 29.66%

Melbourne Victory 45.76%

Draw 24.58%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne Victory
1-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.66%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.58%	0-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.45) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.89% Total : 45.76%