Australian A-League | 1st Leg

May 10, 2024 at 10.45am UK

Allianz Stadium

Sydney FC
1 - 2
Central Coast

(Central Coast Mariners win 2-1 on aggregate)

King (25')
Hollman (40')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nisbet (45+3'), Doka (56' pen.)
Kuol (20')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 4-0 Macarthur
Saturday, May 4 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Adelaide United
Wednesday, May 1 at 10am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.45%) and 2-0 (5.57%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
42.02% ( -0)	22.99% ( -0)	34.99% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 64.96% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.82% (

0.01)

36.18% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.7% (

0.01)

58.3% (

-0.01)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.22%

17.78% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.52%

48.48% (

-0)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79% (

21% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.23% (

0.01)

53.77% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 42.02%

Central Coast Mariners 34.99%

Draw 22.99%

Sydney FC	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5% 3-2 @ 3.91% 3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.96% Total : 42.02%	1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 6.78% 0-0 @ 3.73% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 7.85% 0-1 @ 5.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.53% 0-3 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.99%