Australian A-League

May 4, 2024 at 10.45am UK

Sydney Football Stadium

Sydney FC
4 - 0
Macarthur

Mak (8', 78'), Lolley (50'), Kucharski (67')
Lolley (29')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hollman (83')
Adamson (27')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 7-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, April 28 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 3-0 Macarthur
Saturday, April 27 at 8.15am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 69.94%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 14.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Macarthur
69.94% ( -1.28)	15.63% ( 0.45)	14.42% ( 0.82)

Both teams to score 67.32% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.38% (

-0.36)

22.61% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.26% (

-0.49)

41.73% (

0.49)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.07% (

-0.29)

5.93% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

77.32% (

-0.84)

22.67% (

0.84)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.56% (

0.72)

28.43% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.8% (

0.89)

64.19% (

-0.89)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 69.94%

Macarthur 14.42%

Draw 15.63%

Sydney FC	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.21) 4-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.16) 5-2 @ 2% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.09) 4-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.1) 6-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.2% Total : 69.94%	1-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.54% Total : 15.63%	1-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.4% Total : 14.42%