Australian A-League | Gameweek 26

Apr 27, 2024 at 8.15am UK

Wellington Regional Stadium

Wellington
3 - 0
Macarthur

Barbarouses (22'), Payne (29'), Zawada (90+2' pen.)
Rufer (54'), Salas (84'), Zawada (87')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Drew (41')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Wellington
Friday, April 19 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Sydney FC
Saturday, April 20 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Macarthur
47.72% ( 0.04)	21.2% ( 0.31)	31.07% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 70.21% (

-1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.3% (

-1.78)

28.7% (

1.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.39% (

-2.22)

49.6% (

2.21)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.18% (

-0.64)

12.81% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.86% (

-1.33)

39.14% (

1.33)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.52% (

-1.06)

19.47% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.66% (

-1.76)

51.33% (

1.76)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 47.72%

Macarthur 31.07%

Draw 21.2%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.13) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.39% Total : 47.72%	1-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.25) Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.2%	1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.08) 3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.07%