Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Wellington
Apr 27, 2024 8.15am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Wellington Regional Stadium
Macarthur
  • Kosta Barbarouses 22' goal
  • Tim Payne 29' goal
  • Alex Rufer 54' yellowcard
  • Youstin Salas 84' yellowcard
  • Oskar Zawada 87' yellowcard
  • Oskar Zawada 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Jed Drew 41'

Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 19, 2024 10.45am
Newcastle Jets 1 - 1 Wellington
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Kosta Barbarouses

Macarthur

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 10.45am
Macarthur 1 - 0 Sydney FC
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Valere Germain

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.9%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result

Wellington Phoenix 47.72% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 21.2% ▲ (+0.32)
Macarthur 31.07% ▼ (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

70.21% ▼ (-1.45)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.3% ▼ (-1.78)
Under 2.5 28.7% ▲ (+1.78)
Over 3.5 50.39% ▼ (-2.22)
Under 3.5 49.6% ▲ (+2.22)
Over 4.5 31.1% ▼ (-2.08)
Under 4.5 68.89% ▲ (+2.07)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 87.18% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 0.5 12.81% ▲ (+0.64)
Over 1.5 60.86% ▼ (-1.34)
Under 1.5 39.14% ▲ (+1.33)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5 80.52% ▼ (-1.07)
Under 0.5 19.47% ▲ (+1.06)
Over 1.5 48.66% ▼ (-1.77)
Under 1.5 51.33% ▲ (+1.76)

Score analysis

Wellington Phoenix 47.72%
Draw 21.2%
Macarthur 31.07%
Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.21)
3-1 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.30)
1-0 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.41)
3-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.12)
4-1 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.14)
5-1 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.07)
5-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 47.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.39% ▲ (+0.40)
2-2 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.19)
0-0 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.26)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 21.2%
Macarthur
1-2 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.11)
0-1 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.29)
2-3 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.34% ▲ (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.09)
3-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31.07%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Macarthur
Feb 18, 2024 7.01am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Wellington
  • Clayton Lewis 22' yellowcard
  • Clayton Lewis 22' yellowcard
  • Charles M'Mombwa 75' yellowcard
  • Charles M'Mombwa 75' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Oliveira 78' goal
  • Bernardo Oliveira 78' goal
  • yellowcard David Ball 24'
  • yellowcard David Ball 24'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 31'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 31'
  • yellowcard Oskar van Hattum 42'
  • yellowcard Oskar van Hattum 42'
  • yellowcard Isaac Hughes 54'
  • yellowcard Isaac Hughes 54'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 73'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 73'
  • yellowcard Youstin Delfin Salas Gomez 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Oskar Zawada 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Youstin Salas 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Oskar Zawada 90'+4'
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Macarthur
Dec 18, 2023 8.00am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Wellington
  • Yianni Nicolaou 9' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Aspropotamitis 53' yellowcard
  • Kearyn Baccus 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 13'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Pennington 26'
  • goal Bozhidar Kraev 40'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 58'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 61'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Macarthur
Apr 29, 2023 8.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Wellington
  • goal Oskar Zawada 11'
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Macarthur
Feb 12, 2023 6.00am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Wellington
  • Ulises Davila 32' goal
  • Moudi Najjar 49' goal
  • goal Bozhidar Kraev 4'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Wellington
Nov 6, 2022 2.00am
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Westpac Stadium
Macarthur
  • Ben Old 45'+3' goal
  • Clayton Lewis 65' goal
  • Ben Waine 67' goal
  • Bozhidar Kraev 75' goal
  • goal Lachlan Rose 59'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Wellington
Feb 6, 2022 5.05am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Macarthur
  • Reno Piscopo 12' goal
  • Jaushua Sotirio 71' goal
  • Jaushua Sotirio 78' goal
  • Sam Sutton 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lachlan Rose 50'
  • goal Ulises Davila 58'
  • yellowcard Jordon Mutch 61'
  • yellowcard Moudi Najjar 73'

Form Data

Newcastle Jets 1 - 1 Wellington
Wellington 1 - 0 Victory
Central Coast 2 - 1 Wellington
Wellington 1 - 0 Brisbane Roar
Wellington 2 - 1 Sydney FC
Melbourne City 1 - 0 Wellington
Macarthur 1 - 0 Sydney FC
Adelaide United 1 - 2 Macarthur
Western Utd 4 - 2 Macarthur
Macarthur 1 - 3 Western Sydney
Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Macarthur
Macarthur 0 - 3 Central Coast