Australian A-League | Gameweek 25

Apr 20, 2024 at 10.45am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
1 - 0
Sydney FC

Drew (45+4', 45+4')
Drew (27'), Drew (27'), Baccus (41'), Baccus (41')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Brattan (90+7'), Brattan (90+7')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Macarthur
Friday, April 12 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 2-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, April 13 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 45.48%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.6%) and 0-1 (5.44%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Sydney FC
32.76% ( -0.22)	21.76% ( 0.09)	45.48% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 68.93% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.31% (

-0.54)

30.69% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.98% (

-0.65)

52.02% (

0.65)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.43% (

-0.37)

19.57% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.51% (

-0.6)

51.49% (

0.61)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.7% (

-0.16)

14.29% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.9% (

-0.32)

42.09% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 32.76%

Sydney FC 45.48%

Draw 21.76%

Macarthur	Draw	Sydney FC
2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.27% Total : 32.76%	1-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.76%	1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 45.48%