Australian A-League | Gameweek 25

May 1, 2024 at 10am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
2 - 0
Adelaide United

Farrell (27'), Balard (69')
Doka (59'), Roux (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Veart (1'), Clough (48'), Irankunda (71')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-3 Central Coast
Saturday, April 27 at 8.15am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-4 Adelaide United
Friday, April 26 at 10.55am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 61.58%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 19.81% and a draw had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.4%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (5.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Adelaide United
61.58% ( -0.49)	18.61% ( 0.17)	19.81% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 67.27% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.64% (

-0.36)

27.36% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.06% (

-0.45)

47.94% (

0.45)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.23% (

-0.2)

8.77% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.88% (

-0.51)

30.12% (

0.51)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.74% (

0.06)

26.26% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.63% (

0.07)

61.37% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 61.58%

Adelaide United 19.81%

Draw 18.61%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.64% Total : 61.58%	1-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.51% Total : 18.61%	1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 19.81%