Australian A-League | Gameweek 26

Apr 26, 2024 at 10.55am UK

Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Roar
3 - 4
Adelaide United

Hore (3', 83'), Waddingham (78')
Brownlie (59'), Aldred (73'), Hore (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ibusuki (39', 47'), Mauk (64'), Van Der Saag (74')
Irankunda (21'), Van Der Saag (33'), Mauk (73')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 0-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, April 20 at 8.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 3-3 Adelaide United
Tuesday, April 16 at 10am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.32%) and 3-2 (4.9%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Adelaide United
42.96% ( -0.12)	21.04% ( -0)	36% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 72.96% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.06% (

0.04)

25.93% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.87% (

0.06)

46.13% (

-0.07)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.72% (

-0.02)

13.28% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.9% (

-0.04)

40.1% (

0.03)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.14% (

0.07)

15.86% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.93% (

0.13)

45.07% (

-0.14)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 42.96%

Adelaide United 36%

Draw 21.04%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 42.96%	1-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.28% ( 0) 3-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.04%	1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.88% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.78% Total : 36%