Australian A-League | Gameweek 5

Nov 24, 2024 at 2.30am UK

Allianz Stadium

Wellington
1 - 0
Victory

Barbarouses (82', 82')
Rufer (62'), Rufer (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bos (30'), Bos (30')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 0-3 Wellington
Sunday, November 10 at 5am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Victory 2-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 9 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Melbourne Victory
26.55% ( -1.64)	24.22% ( -0.32)	49.22% ( 1.96)

Both teams to score 55.76% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.79% (

0.26)

46.21% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.5% (

0.24)

68.5% (

-0.24)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.7% (

-1.11)

31.3% (

1.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.35% (

-1.31)

67.65% (

1.31)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.16% (

0.9)

18.84% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.72% (

1.49)

50.28% (

-1.49)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 26.55%

Melbourne Victory 49.23%

Draw 24.22%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Melbourne Victory
1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.83% Total : 26.55%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.22%	0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.37) 1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.19) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.25% Total : 49.23%