Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Nov 24, 2024 2.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Stadium
  • Alex Rufer 62' yellowcard
  • Alex Rufer 62' yellowcard
  • Kosta Barbarouses 82' goal
  • Kosta Barbarouses 82' goal
  • yellowcard Kasey Bos 30'
  • yellowcard Kasey Bos 30'

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Nov 10, 2024 5.00am
Central Coast 0 - 3 Wellington
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Kosta Barbarouses

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 6.00am
Victory 2 - 0 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Nishan Velupillay

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Wellington Phoenix 26.55% (-1.65)
Draw 24.22% (-0.33)
Melbourne Victory 49.22% (+1.97)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.76% (-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.79% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 46.21% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 31.5% (+0.25)
Under 3.5 68.5% (-0.25)
Over 4.5 15.72% (+0.18)
Under 4.5 84.28% (-0.18)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 68.7% (-1.11)
Under 0.5 31.3% (+1.11)
Over 1.5 32.35% (-1.31)
Under 1.5 67.65% (+1.31)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 81.16% (+0.91)
Under 0.5 18.84% (-0.91)
Over 1.5 49.72% (+1.49)
Under 1.5 50.28% (-1.49)

Score analysis

Wellington Phoenix 26.55%
Draw 24.22%
Melbourne Victory 49.23%
Wellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 6.85% (-0.29)
2-1 @ 6.64% (-0.30)
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.30)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.20)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.17)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 26.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.22%
Melbourne Victory
0-1 @ 9.84% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 9.54% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 8.21% (+0.38)
1-3 @ 5.31% (+0.23)
0-3 @ 4.57% (+0.33)
2-3 @ 3.08% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 2.22% (+0.16)
0-4 @ 1.91% (+0.19)
2-4 @ 1.29% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 49.23%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
May 18, 2024 7.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
ET Westpac Stadium
  • Youstin Salas 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Youstin Salas 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Oskar Zawada 90'+9' goal
  • Oskar Zawada 90'+9' goal
  • yellowcard Daniel Arzani 30'
  • yellowcard Daniel Arzani 30'
  • goal Adama Traore 81'
  • goal Adama Traore 82'
  • yellowcard Connor Chapman 97'
  • yellowcard Connor Chapman 97'
  • goal Chris Ikonomidis 102'
  • goal Chris Ikonomidis 102'
Australian A-League
May 12, 2024 7.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Marvel Stadium
  • Daniel Arzani 88' yellowcard
  • Daniel Arzani 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Ball 41'
  • yellowcard David Ball 41'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Pennington 52'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Pennington 52'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 90'+5'
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Apr 12, 2024 8.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wellington Regional Stadium
  • Tim Payne 31' yellowcard
  • David Ball 65' yellowcard
  • Finn Surman 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Fabian Monge 34'
  • yellowcard Damien Da Silva 90'+1'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Jan 19, 2024 6.00am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Wellington Regional Stadium
  • Tim Payne 45'+8' redcard
  • Tim Payne 45'+8' redcard
  • Alex Rufer 90'+5' goal
  • Alex Rufer 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Adama Traore 36'
  • yellowcard Adama Traore 36'
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 40'
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 40'
  • goal Connor Chapman 79'
  • goal Connor Chapman 79'
  • goal Connor Chapman 79'
Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Nov 10, 2023 8.45am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Marvel Stadium
  • Ryan Teague 14' goal
  • Jason Geria 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicholas Pennington 8'
  • yellowcard Finn Surman 18'
  • goal Damien Da Silva 41' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lukas Kelly-Heald 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Tim Payne 89'
Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Apr 1, 2023 3.00am
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Oskar Zawada 25' goal
  • goal Bruno Fornaroli 58'
  • goal Damien Da Silva 76'