Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 40.64% ( | 23.02% ( | 36.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.91% ( | 36.09% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.8% ( | 58.2% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.68% ( | 18.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.59% ( | 49.41% ( |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% ( | 20.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.35% ( | 52.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
| 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 1-0 @ 6.31% ( 2-0 @ 5.35% ( 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 3-2 @ 3.85% ( 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 3.76% Total : 40.64% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 3-3 @ 2.05% ( Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 2-4 @ 1.44% ( 0-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.33% |