Australian A-League | Gameweek 1

Oct 20, 2024 at 6am UK

Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur
6 - 1
Perth Glory

Drew (7', 7'), Hollman (10', 10'), Uskok (21', 21'), Jakolis (30', 30', 45+1', 45+1'), Germain (61', 61')

FT(HT: 10-0)

Bugarija (73', 73')
Lebib (56'), Lebib (56')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 4-0 Macarthur
Saturday, May 4 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Perth Glory

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Armadale 2-4 Perth Glory
Tuesday, July 16 at 12pm in Club Friendlies 3

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 51.47%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.3%) and 3-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Perth Glory
51.47% ( 0.47)	19.83% ( 0.02)	28.7% ( -0.5)

Both teams to score 73.92% (

-0.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76.64% (

-0.49)

23.35% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.26% (

-0.66)

42.73% (

0.65)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.12% (

-0.05)

9.87% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.26% (

-0.12)

32.73% (

0.11)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.02% (

-0.51)

17.97% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.17% (

-0.88)

48.82% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 51.47%

Perth Glory 28.7%

Draw 19.83%

Macarthur	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.25% Total : 51.47%	1-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.9% Total : 19.83%	1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 3-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.49% Total : 28.7%