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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Nov 2, 2024 at 4am UK
Westpac Stadium

Wellington
0 - 2
Auckland FC

FT(HT: 0-0)
Brimmer (89', 89', 90+6', 90+6')
Verstraete (57'), Verstraete (57'), Moreno (82'), Moreno (82')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Auckland FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-2 Wellington
Saturday, October 26 at 11.45am in Australian A-League

Auckland FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 1-0 Sydney FC
Sunday, October 27 at 3am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 91.3%. A draw had a probability of 5.9% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 2.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 4-0 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.9%) and 5-0 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.41%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 1-2 (0.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawAuckland FC
91.3% (-1.851 -1.85)5.86% (1.143 1.14)2.83% (0.704 0.7)
Both teams to score 52.34% (1.369 1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
86.31% (-2.118 -2.12)13.69% (2.114 2.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
71.48% (-3.513 -3.51)28.52% (3.509 3.51)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.34% (-0.413 -0.41)1.66% (0.4091 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
91.55% (-1.73 -1.73)8.45% (1.726 1.73)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.22% (1.607 1.61)46.77% (-1.611 -1.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.68% (1.192 1.19)82.32% (-1.196 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 91.3%
    Auckland FC 2.83%
    Draw 5.86%
Wellington PhoenixDrawAuckland FC
4-0 @ 9.13% (-0.165 -0.16)
3-0 @ 8.9% (0.422 0.42)
5-0 @ 7.49% (-0.66 -0.66)
4-1 @ 6.94% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.77% (0.608 0.61)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.709 0.71)
5-1 @ 5.69% (-0.226 -0.23)
6-0 @ 5.12% (-0.834 -0.83)
2-1 @ 4.95% (0.736 0.74)
6-1 @ 3.89% (-0.432 -0.43)
1-0 @ 3.18% (0.528 0.53)
7-0 @ 3% (-0.729 -0.73)
4-2 @ 2.64% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.335 0.34)
7-1 @ 2.28% (-0.427 -0.43)
5-2 @ 2.16% (0.015 0.02)
8-0 @ 1.54% (-0.505 -0.51)
6-2 @ 1.48% (-0.091 -0.09)
8-1 @ 1.17% (-0.314 -0.31)
Other @ 5.94%
Total : 91.3%
1-1 @ 2.41% (0.491 0.49)
2-2 @ 1.88% (0.35 0.35)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 5.86%
1-2 @ 0.92% (0.219 0.22)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 2.83%