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Australian A-League | Gameweek 2
Oct 27, 2024 at 3am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
Sydney FC

Auckland FC
1 - 0
Sydney FC

Pijnaker (90+7', 90+7')
Gallegos (24'), Gallegos (24'), Rogerson (61'), Rogerson (61'), Hall (78'), Hall (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Matthews (83')
Grant (67'), Grant (67')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Auckland FC 2-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, October 19 at 5am in Australian A-League

Sydney FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, October 19 at 9.35am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 16.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.53%) and 0-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 2-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Auckland FCDrawSydney FC
16.14% (0.00099999999999767 0)19.1% (0.396 0.4)64.76% (-0.395 -0.39)
Both teams to score 57.49% (-1.516 -1.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.54% (-1.94 -1.94)36.46% (1.941 1.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.39% (-2.15 -2.15)58.6% (2.152 2.15)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.32% (-1.222 -1.22)35.68% (1.225 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.55% (-1.279 -1.28)72.45% (1.281 1.28)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.39% (-0.643 -0.64)10.61% (0.6451 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.59% (-1.465 -1.47)34.4% (1.467 1.47)
Score Analysis
    Auckland FC 16.14%
    Sydney FC 64.76%
    Draw 19.1%
Auckland FCDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 4.51% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.9% (0.243 0.24)
2-0 @ 2.01% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-1 @ 1.55% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 16.14%
1-1 @ 8.75% (0.315 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-0 @ 3.78% (0.352 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 19.1%
1-2 @ 9.82% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 9.53% (0.396 0.4)
0-1 @ 8.49% (0.574 0.57)
1-3 @ 7.34% (-0.137 -0.14)
0-3 @ 7.13% (0.106 0.11)
1-4 @ 4.12% (-0.193 -0.19)
0-4 @ 4% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.78% (-0.201 -0.2)
2-4 @ 2.12% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-5 @ 1.85% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-5 @ 1.79% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-5 @ 0.95% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 64.76%