Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Dec 21, 2024 at 8.35am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne City

Victory
1 - 1
Melbourne City

Miranda (65')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Cohen (16', 16')
Kuen (38'), Kuen (38'), Souprayen (69'), Ugarkovic (85')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Victory 2-0 Perth Glory
Sunday, December 8 at 6am in Australian A-League

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-2 Auckland FC
Sunday, December 15 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (5.64%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawMelbourne City
40.19% (0.204 0.2)23.62% (0.024999999999999 0.02)36.19% (-0.226 -0.23)
Both teams to score 62.81% (-0.123 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.91% (-0.148 -0.15)39.09% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.59% (-0.156 -0.16)61.41% (0.16 0.16)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.22% (0.031000000000006 0.03)19.78% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.17% (0.047999999999995 0.05)51.83% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.29% (-0.181 -0.18)21.71% (0.185 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.13% (-0.281 -0.28)54.87% (0.286 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 40.19%
    Melbourne City 36.19%
    Draw 23.61%
Melbourne VictoryDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 6.96% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.64% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 40.19%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.58% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 8.12% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.35% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 36.19%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2024 9.35am
Gameweek 2
Melbourne City
1-3
Victory
Nabbout (64')
Ugarkovic (40')
Velupillay (5'), Vergos (13'), Teague (25')
May 5, 2024 8am
Victory
1-1
Melbourne City
(Aggregate 1-1 | Victory win 3-2 on penalties)
Velupillay (88')
Arzani (11'), Fornaroli (50'), Da Silva (115')
Machach (37')
Souprayen (29')
Souprayen (5'), Jeggo (38'), MacLaren (41'), Antonis (90+2'), Good (102')
Good (118')
Apr 6, 2024 9.45am
Gameweek 23
Victory
2-1
Melbourne City
Fornaroli (34' pen.), Da Silva (86')
Arzani (7'), Da Silva (40'), Machach (82'), Fornaroli (90')
Arslan (4')
Talbot (27'), Caputo (66'), Fernandez (83'), Jakolis (90+1')
Feb 17, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 17
Melbourne City
0-0
Victory
Jeggo (15'), Jakolis (71')
Machach (5'), Monge (35'), Geria (71')
Dec 23, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 9
Melbourne City
0-0
Victory
Jakolis (25'), Arslan (28'), Behich (45')
Machach (45'), Miranda (59')