Australian A-League | Gameweek 3

Nov 4, 2024 at 8am UK

Whitten Oval

Western Utd
0 - 1
Melbourne City

Walatee (77'), Aloisi (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nabbout (49')
Schreiber (62'), Atkinson (66')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 1-1 Western Sydney
Sunday, October 27 at 5am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 1-3 Victory
Saturday, October 26 at 9.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.37%. A win for Western United had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.83%) and 0-1 (5.59%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Melbourne City
31.02% ( 0.41)	21.61% ( 0.03)	47.37% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 68.58% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.2% (

0.09)

30.79% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.86% (

0.11)

52.14% (

-0.11)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46% (

0.27)

20.53% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.96% (

0.42)

53.04% (

-0.43)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.29% (

-0.11)

13.7% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.06% (

-0.22)

40.93% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Western United 31.02%

Melbourne City 47.37%

Draw 21.61%

Western United	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.02%	1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.61%	1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.59% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 4.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 47.37%