Australian A-League | Gameweek 7

Dec 6, 2024 at 8.35am UK

Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Roar
1 - 4
Melbourne City

O'Shea (77' pen.)
Van Der Saag (54')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kuen (1'), Cohen (18', 70'), Ugarkovic (82')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Macarthur 4-4 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 30 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, November 30 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.38%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 25.59% and a draw had a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.68%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Melbourne City
25.59% ( -0.25)	20.02% ( -0.06)	54.38% ( 0.31)

Both teams to score 70.14% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.99% (

0.06)

27.01% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.5% (

0.08)

47.5% (

-0.08)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.25% (

-0.13)

21.75% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.07% (

-0.19)

54.93% (

0.19)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.64% (

0.1)

10.36% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.15% (

0.22)

33.85% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 25.59%

Melbourne City 54.38%

Draw 20.02%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 25.59%	1-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.65% Total : 20.02%	1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.68% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0) 2-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.78% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 3-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.73% Total : 54.38%