Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Nov 23, 2024 6.00am
2
3
HT : 4 2
FT Allianz Stadium
  • Keegan Jelacic 6' goal
  • Keegan Jelacic 6' goal
  • Benjamin Warland 22' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Warland 22' yellowcard
  • Jay O'Shea 43' goal
  • Jay O'Shea 43' goal
  • goal Stefan Mauk 33'
  • goal Stefan Mauk 33'
  • goal Zach Clough 46'
  • goal Zach Clough 46'
  • yellowcard Panagiotis Kikianis 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Panagiotis Kikianis 45'+1'
  • goal Archie Goodwin 62'
  • goal Archie Goodwin 62'

Brisbane Roar vs Adelaide United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 6.00am
Victory 2 - 0 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Thomas Waddingham

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 8.35am
Adelaide United 2 - 1 Western Utd
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Archie Goodwin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (4.95%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result

Brisbane Roar 37.86% (+0.38)
Draw 21.88% (+0.24)
Adelaide United 40.25% (-0.62)

Both Teams to Score: 

69.82% (-0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.94% (-1.22)
Under 2.5 30.06% (+1.22)
Over 3.5 48.74% (-1.48)
Under 3.5 51.26% (+1.49)
Over 4.5 29.59% (-1.36)
Under 4.5 70.41% (+1.35)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 83.08% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 16.92% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 53.02% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 46.98% (+0.68)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 84.05% (-0.75)
Under 0.5 15.95% (+0.75)
Over 1.5 54.76% (-1.39)
Under 1.5 45.23% (+1.39)

Score analysis

Brisbane Roar 37.86%
Draw 21.88%
Adelaide United 40.25%
Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 7.82% (+0.16)
1-0 @ 4.8% (+0.27)
3-1 @ 4.63% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.26% (+0.19)
3-2 @ 4.25% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.52% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.89% (-0.07)
4-3 @ 1.16% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.12% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 37.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.8% (+0.28)
2-2 @ 7.18% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 2.7% (+0.19)
3-3 @ 2.6% (-0.12)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.88%
Adelaide United
1-2 @ 8.08% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 4.95% (+0.22)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 4.55% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 4.39% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.27% (-0.11)
2-4 @ 2.02% (-0.12)
0-4 @ 1.28% (-0.05)
3-4 @ 1.19% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 40.25%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 26, 2024 10.55am
3
4
HT : 1 1
FT Suncorp Stadium
  • Henry Hore 3' goal
  • Rylan Brownlie 59' yellowcard
  • Tom Aldred 73' yellowcard
  • Thomas Waddingham 78' goal
  • Henry Hore 83' goal
  • Henry Hore 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nestory Irankunda 21'
  • yellowcard Harry Van Der Saag 33'
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 39'
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 47'
  • goal Stefan Mauk 64'
  • yellowcard Stefan Mauk 73'
  • goal Harry Van Der Saag 74'
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Dec 10, 2023 4.00am
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 90' yellowcard
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 90' yellowcard
  • goal Taras Gomulka 41'
  • goal Jez Lofthouse 48'
  • goal Jez Lofthouse 48'
  • goal Jay O'Shea 54'
  • goal Jay O'Shea 54'
  • yellowcard Jez Lofthouse 60'
  • yellowcard Jez Lofthouse 60'
Australian A-League Gameweek 15
Feb 4, 2023 8.45am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Coopers Stadium
  • Louis D'Arrigo 34' goal
  • Nestory Irankunda 82' goal
  • goal Joe Knowles 37'
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Dec 9, 2022 8.45am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Suncorp Stadium
  • Jay O'Shea 90'+4' goal
  • goal George Blackwood 72'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 30, 2022 10.45am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • George Blackwood 15' goal
  • Hiroshi Ibusuki 28' goal
  • yellowcard Luke Ivanovic 18'
  • yellowcard Rahmat Akbari 22'
  • yellowcard Alex Parsons 50'
  • yellowcard Jack Hingert 87'
  • yellowcard Kai Trewin 89'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 23, 2022 7.45am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Nikola Mileusnic 2' goal
  • Jesse Daley 40' yellowcard
  • goal Craig Goodwin 24'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Toure 29'
  • goal Stefan Mauk 48'
  • yellowcard Isaias Sanchez 55'
  • yellowcard Stefan Mauk 69'
  • goal Craig Goodwin 85'