Australian A-League | Gameweek 5

Nov 23, 2024 at 6am UK

Allianz Stadium

Brisbane Roar
2 - 3
Adelaide United

Jelacic (6', 6'), O'Shea (43' pen., 43' pen.)
Warland (22'), Warland (22')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Mauk (33', 33'), Clough (46', 46'), Goodwin (62', 62')
Kikianis (45+1'), Kikianis (45+1')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Victory 2-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 9 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Adelaide United 2-1 Western Utd
Saturday, November 9 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (4.95%) and 1-3 (4.94%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Adelaide United
37.86% ( 0.37)	21.88% ( 0.24)	40.25% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 69.82% (

-0.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.94% (

-1.22)

30.06% (

1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.74% (

-1.48)

51.26% (

1.48)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.08% (

-0.38)

16.92% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.02% (

-0.67)

46.98% (

0.67)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.05% (

-0.74)

15.95% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.76% (

-1.38)

45.23% (

1.38)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 37.86%

Adelaide United 40.25%

Draw 21.88%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.36% Total : 37.86%	1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.88%	1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.8% Total : 40.25%