Australian A-League | Gameweek 3

Nov 2, 2024 at 8.35am UK

Marconi Stadium

Western Sydney
3 - 4
Adelaide United

Milanovic (23', 24'), Kraev (53'), Borrello (75')
Cleur (48'), Hammond (83'), Pantazopoulos (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-6)

Jovanovic (4', 4'), Ayoubi (21', 21'), Pierias (27', 27', 63')
Jovanovic (48'), Madanha (83')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Western Utd 1-1 Western Sydney
Sunday, October 27 at 5am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-1 Central Coast
Saturday, October 26 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 37.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.09%) and 2-3 (4.72%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Adelaide United
37.6% ( 0.63)	21.27% ( 0.2)	41.13% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 72.3% (

-0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.12% (

-0.93)

26.88% (

0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.66% (

-1.19)

47.34% (

1.19)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.37% (

-0.16)

15.63% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.35% (

-0.3)

44.65% (

0.3)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.7% (

-0.67)

14.3% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.88% (

-1.33)

42.12% (

1.33)

Score Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 37.6%

Adelaide United 41.13%

Draw 21.27%

Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.91% Total : 37.6%	1-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.76% Total : 21.27%	1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.12) 3-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.67% Total : 41.13%