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Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Nov 2, 2024 at 8.35am UK
Marconi Stadium
Adelaide United

Western Sydney
3 - 4
Adelaide United

Milanovic (24'), Kraev (53'), Borrello (75')
Cleur (48'), Hammond (83'), Pantazopoulos (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Jovanovic (4'), Ayoubi (21'), Pierias (27', 63')
Jovanovic (48'), Madanha (83')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 37.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.09%) and 2-3 (4.72%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney WanderersDrawAdelaide United
37.6% (0.632 0.63) 21.27% (0.198 0.2) 41.13% (-0.82700000000001 -0.83)
Both teams to score 72.3% (-0.702 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.12% (-0.931 -0.93)26.88% (0.935 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.66% (-1.19 -1.19)47.34% (1.193 1.19)
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.37% (-0.157 -0.16)15.63% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.35% (-0.298 -0.3)44.65% (0.301 0.3)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.7% (-0.67 -0.67)14.3% (0.673 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.88% (-1.325 -1.33)42.12% (1.327 1.33)
Score Analysis
    Western Sydney Wanderers 37.6%
    Adelaide United 41.13%
    Draw 21.27%
Western Sydney WanderersDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.17 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.08 0.08)
3-2 @ 4.5% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 4.15% (0.214 0.21)
2-0 @ 3.85% (0.179 0.18)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.097 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.09% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-3 @ 1.35% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 37.6%
1-1 @ 8.07% (0.228 0.23)
2-2 @ 7.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.92% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-0 @ 2.24% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 7.85% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.09% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-3 @ 4.72% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-1 @ 4.35% (0.146 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.041 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.74% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.47% (-0.114 -0.11)
2-4 @ 2.3% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-4 @ 1.42% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-5 @ 0.96% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 41.13%

Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 18
Adelaide United
1-2
Western Sydney
Jovanovic (90+4')
Kitto (52'), Bovalina (90+8')
Halloran (75')
Milanovic (18', 35')
Bonetig (5')
Dec 15, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 8
Western Sydney
1-0
Adelaide United
Pierias (23')
Scicluna (75'), Marcelo (78')
Brillante (78')

Tunnicliffe (78'), Lopez (84')
Mar 31, 2023 9.45am
Gameweek 22
Western Sydney
2-3
Adelaide United
Yengi (44'), Marcelo (60')
Warland (37', 49'), Ibusuki (55')
Feb 19, 2023 4am
Mar 20, 2022 8.05am
rhs 2.0
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