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Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Nov 9, 2024 at 8.35am UK
Coopers Stadium
Western United

Adelaide United
2 - 1
Western Utd

Leonard (32' og., 32' og.), Clough (71')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Vidmar (10', 10')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 3-4 Adelaide United
Saturday, November 2 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Melbourne City
Monday, November 4 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 59.79%. A win for Western United had a probability of 20.65% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.34%) and 3-1 (7.19%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (5.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Adelaide United in this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawWestern United
59.79% (1.427 1.43)19.56% (-0.27 -0.27)20.65% (-1.154 -1.15)
Both teams to score 65.01% (-0.837 -0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.2% (-0.301 -0.3)30.8% (0.304 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.85% (-0.359 -0.36)52.15% (0.362 0.36)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.8% (0.26299999999999 0.26)10.19% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.53% (0.599 0.6)33.47% (-0.598 -0.6)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.39% (-1.146 -1.15)27.61% (1.148 1.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.85% (-1.501 -1.5)63.14% (1.503 1.5)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 59.79%
    Western United 20.65%
    Draw 19.56%
Adelaide UnitedDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.284 0.28)
3-1 @ 7.19% (0.129 0.13)
1-0 @ 6.43% (0.179 0.18)
3-0 @ 5.58% (0.275 0.27)
3-2 @ 4.63% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.1% (0.119 0.12)
4-0 @ 3.19% (0.191 0.19)
4-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.87% (0.075 0.08)
5-0 @ 1.46% (0.103 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.13% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 59.79%
1-1 @ 8.27% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-0 @ 2.81% (0.047 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.98% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 19.56%
1-2 @ 5.32% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-1 @ 3.62% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.33% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-3 @ 1% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 20.65%

Head to Head
Apr 16, 2024 10am
Gameweek 13
Western Utd
3-3
Adelaide United
Grimaldi (19'), Donachie (34'), O'Toole (90+4')
Donachie (3'), O'Toole (45+6'), Pasquali (73'), Najdovski (88')
Ibusuki (45+7' pen., 57'), Irankunda (62')
Mauk (72'), Irankunda (84'), Halloran (90+4')
Mar 29, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 22
Adelaide United
4-1
Western Utd
Irankunda (19', 46', 48'), Clough (80' pen.)
Irankunda (58'), Van Der Saag (60'), Lopez (90+1')
Ruhs (50')
Risdon (40'), Ruhs (58'), Thurgate (70'), Danzaki (90+4')
Imai (90+2')
Nov 26, 2023 6am
Gameweek 5
Western Utd
1-3
Adelaide United
Wales (53')
Lustica (49')
Halloran (30'), Popovic (56'), Jovanovic (63')
Duzel (69')
Apr 16, 2023 8am
Gameweek 24
Adelaide United
0-1
Western Utd
Pain (44')
> Match Report
Feb 11, 2023 6am
Gameweek 16
Western Utd
2-3
Adelaide United
Botic (43'), Prijovic (48')
Clough (68'), Kitto (76'), Goodwin (86' pen.)
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