Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 58.19%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 22.4% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.08%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
58.19% ( -1.62) | 19.4% ( 0.26) | 22.4% ( 1.36) |
Both teams to score 68.43% ( 1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.41% ( 0.55) | 27.58% ( -0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.77% ( 0.69) | 48.22% ( -0.69) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.39% ( -0.22) | 9.61% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.88% ( -0.51) | 32.12% ( 0.5) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.7% ( 1.39) | 24.29% ( -1.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.33% ( 1.93) | 58.67% ( -1.94) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.35) 1-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.22) 5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) 5-2 @ 1.37% 5-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.12) Other @ 4.1% Total : 58.19% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.56% Total : 19.4% | 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.6% Total : 22.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 15 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
4 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 7 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 2 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 1 |
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