Australian A-League | Gameweek 4

Nov 10, 2024 at 9.45am UK

nib Stadium

Perth Glory
0 - 5
Melbourne City

Pennington (62')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ugarkovic (40', 45'), Kuen (46'), Cohen (83'), Memeti (89')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Central Coast 0-0 Perth Glory
Saturday, November 2 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Melbourne City
Monday, November 4 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.77%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.92%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (5.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Perth Glory	Draw	Melbourne City
23.9% ( -0.44)	19.33% ( -0.16)	56.77% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 70.83% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.63% (

0.3)

25.37% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.6% (

0.39)

45.4% (

-0.39)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.06% (

-0.12)

21.94% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.78% (

-0.18)

55.22% (

0.18)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.74% (

0.23)

9.26% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.7% (

0.55)

31.29% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Perth Glory 23.9%

Melbourne City 56.77%

Draw 19.33%

Perth Glory	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 23.9%	1-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.7% Total : 19.33%	1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.92% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 4.12% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 3.12% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 3-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 2-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.47% Total : 56.77%