Australian A-League | Gameweek 4

Nov 8, 2024 at 8.35am UK

Marconi Stadium

Western Sydney
4 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Milanovic (22', 33', 75' pen.), Sapsford (55')
Borrello (39')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Grozos (67' pen.)
Timmins (83')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Western Sydney 3-4 Adelaide United
Saturday, November 2 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Macarthur 1-2 Newcastle Jets
Friday, October 25 at 9.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Newcastle Jets
49.36% ( -0.12)	21.18% ( -0)	29.46% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 69.21% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.43% (

0.11)

29.56% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.33% (

0.13)

50.66% (

-0.14)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.37% (

12.63% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.24% (

0.01)

38.75% (

-0.01)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.21% (

0.13)

20.78% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.56% (

0.2)

53.43% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 49.36%

Newcastle Jets 29.46%

Draw 21.18%

Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 49.36%	1-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.18%	1-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.46%