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Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 2
Oct 25, 2024 at 9.35am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Macarthur
1 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Jakolis (19')
Rose (47'), De Silva (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Adams (56', 60')
Aquilina (29'), Ingham (51'), Stanton (63')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 6-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, October 20 at 6am in Australian A-League

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, October 19 at 7am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.45%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawNewcastle Jets
52.32% (5.941 5.94)20.29% (-0.953 -0.95)27.39% (-4.992 -4.99)
Both teams to score 70.95% (0.155 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.32% (1.537 1.54)26.67% (-1.542 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.92% (1.931 1.93)47.07% (-1.936 -1.94)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.21% (2.268 2.27)10.78% (-2.273 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.19% (4.831 4.83)34.8% (-4.835 -4.84)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.52% (-1.902 -1.9)20.47% (1.896 1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.06% (-3.104 -3.1)52.93% (3.099 3.1)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 52.32%
    Newcastle Jets 27.39%
    Draw 20.29%
MacarthurDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.223 0.22)
3-1 @ 6.45% (0.705 0.71)
2-0 @ 5.47% (0.449 0.45)
3-2 @ 5.11% (0.28 0.28)
1-0 @ 4.92% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.654 0.65)
4-1 @ 3.59% (0.667 0.67)
4-2 @ 2.85% (0.387 0.39)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.527 0.53)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.409 0.41)
4-3 @ 1.51% (0.124 0.12)
5-2 @ 1.27% (0.266 0.27)
5-0 @ 1.01% (0.301 0.3)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 52.32%
1-1 @ 7.8% (-0.513 -0.51)
2-2 @ 6.89% (-0.235 -0.24)
3-3 @ 2.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.21% (-0.217 -0.22)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 20.29%
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.811 -0.81)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.355 -0.36)
0-1 @ 3.5% (-0.581 -0.58)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.655 -0.66)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.659 -0.66)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.238 -0.24)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.355 -0.36)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 27.39%

How you voted: Macarthur vs Newcastle Jets

Macarthur
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Newcastle Jets
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 6am
Gameweek 18
Newcastle Jets
2-2
Macarthur
Goodwin (71'), Stamatelopoulos (89' pen.)
O'Neill (90+2')
Davila (69'), Germain (81')
Auglah (90+2')
Jan 5, 2024 8.45am
Gameweek 11
Macarthur
1-1
Newcastle Jets
Germain (90+9' pen.)
Jurman (14'), Uskok (90+1'), Germain (90+3')
Taylor (9')
Grozos (89'), Cancar (90+8')
Apr 14, 2023 10.45am
Gameweek 24
Newcastle Jets
2-1
Macarthur
Jurman (79'), O'Neill (90+5')
Arabuli (90+2')
> Preview
Feb 18, 2023 7am
Gameweek 17
Macarthur
0-1
Newcastle Jets
Buhagiar (8')
> Preview
Jan 8, 2023 4am
Gameweek 11
Macarthur
2-0
Newcastle Jets
> Preview