Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 56.56%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.9%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.