Australian A-League | Gameweek 6

Nov 30, 2024 at 8.35am UK

Campbelltown Stadium

Macarthur
4 - 4
Brisbane Roar

Adamson (44', 44'), Uskok (51'), De Silva (79'), Germain (83')
Sterjovski (21'), Sterjovski (21'), Germain (26'), Germain (26'), Uskok (90+1'), Drew (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Waddingham (5', 5', 29', 29'), Arslanagic (67' og.), Uskok (90+3' og.)
Zabala (45+1'), Zabala (45+1'), Warland (65'), Bility (87'), Hingert (90+2')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 0-1 Auckland FC
Sunday, November 24 at 5.15am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-3 Adelaide United
Saturday, November 23 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Brisbane Roar
42.71% ( 0.5)	22.93% ( 0.12)	34.35% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 65% (

-0.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.94% (

-0.75)

36.06% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.84% (

-0.83)

58.16% (

0.83)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.56% (

-0.1)

17.44% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.1% (

-0.18)

47.9% (

0.19)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.73% (

-0.65)

21.27% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.81% (

-1.03)

54.19% (

1.03)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 42.71%

Brisbane Roar 34.35%

Draw 22.93%

Macarthur	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.1% Total : 42.71%	1-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.93%	1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.71% Total : 34.35%