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Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Nov 24, 2024 at 5.15am UK
Allianz Stadium

Macarthur
0 - 1
Auckland FC


Jakolis (36'), Jakolis (36'), Arslanagic (82'), Arslanagic (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
May (34', 34')
Pijnaker (22'), Pijnaker (22'), Howieson (88'), Howieson (88')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Auckland FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 1-2 Macarthur
Sunday, November 10 at 7am in Australian A-League

Auckland FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 0-2 Auckland FC
Saturday, November 2 at 4am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 93.5%. A draw had a probability of 4.4% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 2.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 4-0 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 5-0 (7.99%) and 3-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.73%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 1-2 (0.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawAuckland FC
93.5% (-1.222 -1.22)4.44% (0.8299 0.83)2.05% (0.392 0.39)
Both teams to score 52.87% (-1.549 -1.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
89.87% (-2.465 -2.47)10.12% (2.465 2.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
77.51% (-4.514 -4.51)22.48% (4.515 4.52)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.93% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)1.07% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
94.08% (-1.551 -1.55)5.91% (1.551 1.55)
Auckland FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.44% (-1.385 -1.39)46.55% (1.384 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.85% (-1.08 -1.08)82.15% (1.08 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 93.5%
    Auckland FC 2.05%
    Draw 4.44%
MacarthurDrawAuckland FC
4-0 @ 8.8% (0.728 0.73)
5-0 @ 7.99% (0.067 0.07)
3-0 @ 7.75% (1.176 1.18)
4-1 @ 6.73% (0.314 0.31)
5-1 @ 6.11% (-0.188 -0.19)
6-0 @ 6.04% (-0.436 -0.44)
3-1 @ 5.93% (0.701 0.7)
2-0 @ 5.12% (1.103 1.1)
6-1 @ 4.62% (-0.53 -0.53)
7-0 @ 3.92% (-0.625 -0.63)
2-1 @ 3.92% (0.723 0.72)
7-1 @ 3% (-0.615 -0.62)
4-2 @ 2.57% (0.023 0.02)
5-2 @ 2.34% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.189 0.19)
1-0 @ 2.26% (0.619 0.62)
8-0 @ 2.23% (-0.564 -0.56)
6-2 @ 1.77% (-0.28 -0.28)
8-1 @ 1.7% (-0.516 -0.52)
7-2 @ 1.15% (-0.289 -0.29)
9-0 @ 1.12% (-0.399 -0.4)
Other @ 6.21%
Total : 93.5%
1-1 @ 1.73% (0.424 0.42)
2-2 @ 1.5% (0.228 0.23)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 4.44%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 2.05%