Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 70.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 12.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 3-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 70.49% ( | 16.9% ( | 12.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.09% ( | 33.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.24% ( | 55.75% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.43% ( | 8.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.37% ( | 29.62% ( |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.19% ( | 38.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.46% ( | 75.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Auckland FC |
| 2-0 @ 10.03% ( 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 3-0 @ 8.22% ( 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 3-1 @ 7.78% ( 4-0 @ 5.05% ( 4-1 @ 4.78% ( 3-2 @ 3.68% ( 5-0 @ 2.48% ( 5-1 @ 2.35% ( 4-2 @ 2.26% ( 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 6-0 @ 1.02% ( 6-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 70.49% | 1-1 @ 7.73% ( 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0-0 @ 3.33% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.9% | 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0-1 @ 3.15% ( 0-2 @ 1.49% ( 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 1-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 1.73% Total : 12.6% |