Australian A-League | Gameweek 7

Dec 7, 2024 at 4am UK

Mount Smart Stadium

Auckland FC
2 - 1
Wellington

Hughes (31' og., 31' og.), Pijnaker (70', 70')
Howieson (53'), Howieson (53')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Barbarouses (82', 82')
Ishige (17'), Ishige (17'), Sutton (43'), Sutton (43'), Retre (50'), Retre (50'), Barbarouses (67'), Barbarouses (67'), Rufer (78'), Rufer (78'), Italiano (88'), Italiano (88')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auckland FC

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Auckland FC 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, November 30 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Victory
Sunday, November 24 at 2.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auckland FC would win this match.

Result
Auckland FC	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
37.69% ( 1.4)	25.77% ( 0.37)	36.53% ( -1.77)

Both teams to score 55.01% (

-1.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.82% (

-1.64)

49.18% (

1.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.75% (

-1.5)

71.24% (

1.5)

Auckland FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.49% (

0.02)

25.5% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.65% (

0.03)

60.35% (

-0.03)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.84% (

-1.74)

26.16% (

1.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.76% (

-2.39)

61.23% (

2.38)

Score Analysis

Auckland FC 37.69%

Wellington Phoenix 36.53%

Draw 25.77%

Auckland FC	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.6) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.69%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.31% Total : 36.53%