Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 91.44%. A draw had a probability of 5.6% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 0-4 with a probability of 7.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.13%) and 1-4 (7.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.99%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 2-1 (0.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auckland FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| 3% ( | 5.56% ( | 91.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 89.76% ( | 10.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 77.31% ( | 22.69% ( |
| Auckland FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.23% ( | 40.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.65% ( | 77.35% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 98.76% ( | 1.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 93.32% ( | 6.68% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Auckland FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
| Other @ 3% Total : 3% | 1-1 @ 1.99% ( 2-2 @ 1.96% ( Other @ 1.61% Total : 5.56% | 0-4 @ 7.82% ( 0-3 @ 7.13% ( 1-4 @ 7.02% ( 0-5 @ 6.87% ( 1-3 @ 6.4% ( 1-5 @ 6.16% ( 0-6 @ 5.03% ( 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 1-6 @ 4.51% ( 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0-7 @ 3.15% ( 2-4 @ 3.15% ( 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 1-7 @ 2.83% ( 2-5 @ 2.77% ( 0-1 @ 2.22% ( 2-6 @ 2.02% ( 0-8 @ 1.73% ( 1-8 @ 1.55% ( 2-7 @ 1.27% ( 3-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 6.76% Total : 91.44% |