Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 91.44%. A draw had a probability of 5.6% and a win for Auckland FC had a probability of 3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 0-4 with a probability of 7.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (7.13%) and 1-4 (7.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.99%), while for an Auckland FC win it was 2-1 (0.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Auckland FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
3% ( 0.78) | 5.56% ( 1.2) | 91.44% ( -1.98) |
Both teams to score 58.5% ( 0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
89.76% ( -2.22) | 10.24% ( 2.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
77.31% ( -4.05) | 22.69% ( 4.05) |
Auckland FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.23% ( 0.7) | 40.77% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.65% ( 0.63) | 77.35% ( -0.62) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
98.76% ( -0.38) | 1.24% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
93.32% ( -1.74) | 6.68% ( 1.74) |
Score Analysis |
Auckland FC | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
Other @ 3% Total : 3% | 1-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.4) Other @ 1.61% Total : 5.56% | 0-4 @ 7.82% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 7.13% ( 0.74) 1-4 @ 7.02% ( 0.33) 0-5 @ 6.87% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 6.4% ( 0.77) 1-5 @ 6.16% ( -0.2) 0-6 @ 5.03% ( -0.71) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.84) 1-6 @ 4.51% ( -0.54) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.83) 0-7 @ 3.15% ( -0.75) 2-4 @ 3.15% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.39) 1-7 @ 2.83% ( -0.61) 2-5 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.53) 2-6 @ 2.02% ( -0.2) 0-8 @ 1.73% ( -0.59) 1-8 @ 1.55% ( -0.49) 2-7 @ 1.27% ( -0.24) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 6.76% Total : 91.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 15 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
4 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 7 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 2 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 1 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |