Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Nov 22, 2024 9.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Stadium
  • Callum Timmins 6' yellowcard
  • Thomas Aquilina 64' goal
  • Kosta Grozos 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alou Kuol 35'
  • goal Brian Kaltack 66'
  • goal Aleksandar Susnjar 75' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lucas Mauragis 90'

Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Nov 8, 2024 8.35am
Western Sydney 4 - 1 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Lachlan Rose

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Nov 10, 2024 5.00am
Central Coast 0 - 3 Wellington
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Alou Kuol

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.

Result

Newcastle Jets 26.47% (+0.58)
Draw 22.77% (+0.76)
Central Coast Mariners 50.76% (-1.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.69% (-2.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.34% (-3.10)
Under 2.5 39.66% (+3.09)
Over 3.5 37.99% (-3.30)
Under 3.5 62.01% (+3.29)
Over 4.5 20.54% (-2.64)
Under 4.5 79.45% (+2.63)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5 72.08% (-1.22)
Under 0.5 27.91% (+1.22)
Over 1.5 36.46% (-1.58)
Under 1.5 63.53% (+1.58)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 84.2% (-1.56)
Under 0.5 15.8% (+1.56)
Over 1.5 55.04% (-2.95)
Under 1.5 44.96% (+2.94)

Score analysis

Newcastle Jets 26.47%
Draw 22.76%
Central Coast Mariners 50.76%
Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 6.63% (+0.17)
1-0 @ 5.63% (+0.61)
2-0 @ 3.59% (+0.28)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.18)
3-0 @ 1.53% (+0.07)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 26.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.38% (+0.60)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.19)
0-0 @ 4.41% (+0.61)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.21)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.76%
Central Coast Mariners
1-2 @ 9.58% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 8.14% (+0.73)
0-2 @ 7.51% (+0.29)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.31)
0-3 @ 4.62% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 3.76% (-0.34)
1-4 @ 2.72% (-0.30)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.16)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.26)
1-5 @ 1% (-0.18)
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 50.76%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 27, 2024 8.15am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Dane Ingham 43' yellowcard
  • Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 47' goal
  • Kosta Grozos 50' yellowcard
  • Phillip Cancar 72' yellowcard
  • Daniel Wilmering 89' yellowcard
  • goal Alou Kuol 21'
  • yellowcard Christian Theoharous 32'
  • goal Harrison Steele 82'
  • goal Ryan Edmondson 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Mar 2, 2024 7.00am
0
1
HT : 2 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Storm Roux 45'+2' goal
  • Storm Roux 45'+2' goal
  • Brandon O'Neill 49' yellowcard
  • Brandon O'Neill 49' yellowcard
  • William Wilson 57' goal
  • William Wilson 57' goal
  • Phillip Cancar 79' yellowcard
  • Phillip Cancar 79' yellowcard
  • Jing Reec 90'+3' goal
  • Jing Reec 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Brian Kaltack 29'
  • yellowcard Brian Kaltack 29'
  • goal Joshua Nisbet 75'
  • goal Joshua Nisbet 75'
  • goal Archie Goodwin 76'
  • goal Archie Goodwin 76'
  • yellowcard Brad Tapp 79'
  • yellowcard Brad Tapp 79'
  • yellowcard Max Balard 87'
  • yellowcard Max Balard 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 6.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Storm Roux 45'+2' goal
  • Storm Roux 45'+2' goal
  • William Wilson 57' goal
  • William Wilson 57' goal
  • Jing Reec 90'+3' goal
  • Jing Reec 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Mauragis 62'
  • yellowcard Lucas Mauragis 62'
  • goal Archie Goodwin 76'
  • goal Archie Goodwin 76'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Apr 22, 2023 8.00am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Jaushua Sotirio 9' goal
  • goal Samuel Silvera 28'
  • goal Samuel Silvera 58'
  • goal Marco Tulio 69'
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Dec 21, 2022 8.00am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Marco Tulio 22' goal
  • Jason Cummings 63' goal
  • Beni N'Kololo 87' goal
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Dec 11, 2022 4.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Jason Cummings 53' goal
  • goal Trent Buhagiar 12'
  • goal Beka Mikeltadze 66'