Australian A-League | Gameweek 5

Nov 22, 2024 at 9am UK

Allianz Stadium

Newcastle Jets
1 - 2
Central Coast

Aquilina (64')
Timmins (6'), Grozos (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kaltack (66'), Susnjar (75' og.)
Kuol (35'), Mauragis (90')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Central Coast Mariners.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Western Sydney 4-1 Newcastle Jets
Friday, November 8 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 0-3 Wellington
Sunday, November 10 at 5am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 26.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.14%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
26.47% ( 0.57)	22.77% ( 0.75)	50.76% ( -1.33)

Both teams to score 60.69% (

-2.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.34% (

-3.09)

39.66% (

3.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.99% (

-3.29)

62.01% (

3.28)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08% (

-1.22)

27.91% (

1.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.46% (

-1.58)

63.53% (

1.57)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.2% (

-1.56)

15.8% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.04% (

-2.95)

44.96% (

2.94)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 26.47%

Central Coast Mariners 50.76%

Draw 22.76%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.6) 2-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.68% Total : 26.47%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.59) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.61) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.76%	1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.72) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 5.89% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.33) 1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.26) 1-5 @ 1% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.68% Total : 50.76%