Australian A-League | Gameweek 6

Dec 1, 2024 at 5am UK

Whitten Oval

Western Utd
1 - 3
Victory

Botic (19', 19')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Machach (8', 8'), Vergos (48', 48'), Fornaroli (69', 69')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 1-3 Western Utd
Friday, November 22 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Victory
Sunday, November 24 at 2.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Western United had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Melbourne Victory
24.11% ( -0.02)	22.08% ( 0.1)	53.8% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 60.57% (

-0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.3% (

-0.52)

38.69% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39% (

-0.55)

61% (

0.55)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.79% (

-0.3)

29.2% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.85% (

-0.37)

65.15% (

0.36)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.56% (

-0.21)

14.43% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.62% (

-0.41)

42.37% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Western United 24.11%

Melbourne Victory 53.8%

Draw 22.08%

Western United	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.25% Total : 24.11%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.08%	1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 6.27% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 53.8%