Australian A-League | Gameweek 5

Nov 22, 2024 at 6.30am UK

Allianz Stadium

Perth Glory
1 - 3
Western Utd

Ostler (52')
Risdon (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Leonard (60'), Ibusuki (65', 76')
Leonard (90')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perth Glory

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Perth Glory 0-5 Melbourne City
Sunday, November 10 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 2-1 Western Utd
Saturday, November 9 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.81%) and 0-2 (5.3%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.

Result
Perth Glory	Draw	Western United
34.63% ( 0.92)	22.36% ( 0.23)	43.02% ( -1.15)

Both teams to score 67.32% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.93% (

-0.89)

33.07% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.2% (

-1.03)

54.8% (

1.03)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.25% (

0.04)

19.75% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.21% (

0.06)

51.79% (

-0.06)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.89% (

-0.78)

16.11% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.47% (

-1.44)

45.53% (

1.45)

Score Analysis

Perth Glory 34.63%

Western United 43.02%

Draw 22.36%

Perth Glory	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 7.64% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 34.63%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.36%	1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.23% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 4.25% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.09) 3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.75% Total : 43.02%