Australian A-League | Gameweek 7

Dec 8, 2024 at 6am UK

AAMI Park

Victory
2 - 0
Perth Glory

Machach (7', 7'), Traore (59', 59')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Risdon (35'), Risdon (35'), Canga (37'), Canga (37'), Carluccio (53'), Carluccio (53')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 1-3 Victory
Sunday, December 1 at 5am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Perth Glory

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 2-2 Perth Glory
Friday, November 29 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 65.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Perth Glory
65.98% ( 0.16)	18.07% ( -0.22)	15.95% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 61.02% (

1.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.24% (

1.24)

31.76% (

-1.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.71% (

1.44)

53.28% (

-1.44)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.98% (

0.37)

9.01% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.3% (

0.89)

30.7% (

-0.89)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.07% (

0.86)

32.93% (

-0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.49% (

0.95)

69.51% (

-0.95)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 65.98%

Perth Glory 15.95%

Draw 18.07%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Perth Glory
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.36) 3-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.12) 5-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 2% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.08) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 4.19% Total : 65.98%	1-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.07%	1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 15.95%