Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 73.49%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.48%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 73.49% ( | 14.31% ( | 12.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 78.64% ( | 21.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60% ( | 40% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.92% ( | 5.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.79% ( | 20.21% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( | 30.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.55% ( | 66.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 8.16% ( 3-1 @ 8.1% ( 2-0 @ 6.83% ( 3-0 @ 6.78% ( 4-1 @ 6.04% ( 4-0 @ 5.05% ( 3-2 @ 4.84% ( 1-0 @ 4.58% ( 4-2 @ 3.61% ( 5-1 @ 3.6% ( 5-0 @ 3.01% ( 5-2 @ 2.15% ( 6-1 @ 1.79% ( 6-0 @ 1.5% ( 4-3 @ 1.44% ( 6-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 4.95% Total : 73.49% | 1-1 @ 5.48% ( 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0-0 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 0.5% Total : 14.31% | 1-2 @ 3.27% ( 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0-1 @ 1.84% ( 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 12.2% |