Australian A-League
Gameweek
10
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-
Joe Lolley
2'
-
Joe Lolley
26'
-
Adrian Segecic
68'
-
Jaiden Kucharski
86'
-
Zinedine Machach
16'
-
Jason Geria
51'
-
Jing Reec
67'
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Bruno Fornaroli
70'
-
Brendan Hamill
79'
Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.06%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result
Sydney FC
41.11%
▲
(+0.23)
Draw
22.46%
▼
(-0.13)
Melbourne Victory
36.42%
▼
(-0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
67.32%
▲
(+0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.77%
▲
(+0.63)
Under 2.5
33.23%
▼
(-0.63)
Over 3.5
45.01%
▲
(+0.71)
Under 3.5
54.98%
▼
(-0.71)
Over 4.5
26.31%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 4.5
73.69%
▼
(-0.61)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5
83.07%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 0.5
16.93%
▼
(-0.36)
Over 1.5
53%
▲
(+0.62)
Under 1.5
46.99%
▼
(-0.62)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5
81.03%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 0.5
18.96%
▼
(-0.24)
Over 1.5
49.51%
▲
(+0.39)
Under 1.5
50.49%
▼
(-0.39)
Score analysis
Sydney FC
41.11%
Draw
22.46%
Melbourne Victory
36.42%
Sydney FC
2-1
@
8.42%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-97.39)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 41.11%
1-0 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.13)
2-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.06)
4-0 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.02)
4-3 @ 1.02% ▼ (-97.39)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 41.11%
Draw
1-1
@
9.48%
▼
(-0.14)
2-2 @ 7% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.46%
2-2 @ 7% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.11)
3-3 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.46%
Melbourne Victory
1-2
@
7.88%
▼
(-0.05)
0-1 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 36.42%
0-1 @ 5.34% ▼ (-0.14)
0-2 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 36.42%