Australian A-League | Gameweek 10

Dec 28, 2024 at 8.35am UK

Allianz Stadium

Sydney FC
3 - 0
Victory

Lolley (2', 26'), Kucharski (86')
Segecic (68')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Geria (51'), Reec (67'), Fornaroli (70'), Hamill (79')
Machach (16')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 3-3 Sydney FC
Friday, December 20 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, December 21 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.06%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne Victory
41.11% ( 0.23)	22.46% ( -0.13)	36.42% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 67.32% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.77% (

0.62)

33.23% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.01% (

0.71)

54.98% (

-0.71)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.07% (

0.35)

16.93% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53% (

0.62)

46.99% (

-0.62)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.03% (

0.23)

18.96% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.51% (

0.38)

50.49% (

-0.38)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 41.11%

Melbourne Victory 36.42%

Draw 22.46%

Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.4% Total : 41.11%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.46%	1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.42%