Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.74%) and 2-0 (5.18%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 46.43% ( | 21.4% ( | 32.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 70.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.87% ( | 29.13% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.86% ( | 50.13% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.61% ( | 13.38% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.7% ( | 40.3% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% ( | 19.12% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.25% ( | 50.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 1-0 @ 5.15% ( 3-2 @ 4.75% ( 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 4-1 @ 2.89% ( 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 4-3 @ 1.32% ( 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 5-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.43% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( 2-2 @ 7.08% ( 3-3 @ 2.62% ( 0-0 @ 2.56% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.4% | 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0-1 @ 4.23% ( 2-3 @ 3.91% ( 1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 3-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.36% Total : 32.17% |