Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Western United had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Western United win it was 1-2 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western United |
| 64.99% ( | 17.57% ( | 17.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.71% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.81% ( | 26.19% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.54% ( | 46.46% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.27% ( | 7.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.48% ( | 27.52% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.3% ( | 27.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.75% ( | 63.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 3-1 @ 7.69% ( 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 3-0 @ 5.99% ( 1-0 @ 5.48% ( 3-2 @ 4.93% ( 4-1 @ 4.92% ( 4-0 @ 3.83% ( 4-2 @ 3.16% ( 5-1 @ 2.52% ( 5-0 @ 1.96% ( 5-2 @ 1.62% ( 4-3 @ 1.35% ( 6-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 4.45% Total : 64.99% | 1-1 @ 7.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0-0 @ 2.14% ( 3-3 @ 2.11% ( Other @ 0.5% Total : 17.57% | 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0-1 @ 2.75% ( 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0-2 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 4% Total : 17.44% |