Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.95%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 30.44% ( | 22.69% ( | 46.86% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.49% ( | 36.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.35% ( | 58.65% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% ( | 23.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.22% ( | 57.78% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.98% ( | 16.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.64% ( | 45.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 1-0 @ 5.46% ( 2-0 @ 3.94% ( 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 4-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.44% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0-0 @ 3.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.94% ( Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.68% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0-1 @ 6.95% ( 0-2 @ 6.36% ( 1-3 @ 5.59% ( 2-3 @ 4.03% ( 0-3 @ 3.88% ( 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0-4 @ 1.78% ( 1-5 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 3.77% Total : 46.86% |