Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6%) and 0-2 (5.69%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 31.9% ( | 22.12% ( | 45.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.09% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.08% ( | 32.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.36% ( | 54.63% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( | 21.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.08% ( | 53.92% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.02% ( | 14.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.59% ( | 43.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 1-0 @ 4.92% ( 2-0 @ 3.82% ( 3-1 @ 3.77% ( 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 3-0 @ 1.98% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-2 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.71% Total : 31.9% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 0-0 @ 3.16% ( 3-3 @ 2.26% ( Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0-1 @ 6% ( 0-2 @ 5.69% ( 1-3 @ 5.61% ( 2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0-3 @ 3.6% ( 1-4 @ 2.66% ( 2-4 @ 2.07% ( 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 3-4 @ 1.08% ( 1-5 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 3.32% Total : 45.98% |