Australian A-League | Gameweek 7

Dec 7, 2024 at 7am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
0 - 1
Adelaide United

Susnjar (53'), Susnjar (53'), Cancar (61'), Cancar (61')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mauk (14', 14')
Kikianis (27'), Kikianis (27'), Delianov (89'), Delianov (89')
Folami (64'), Folami (64')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Auckland FC 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, November 30 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Adelaide United 2-2 Perth Glory
Friday, November 29 at 8.35am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.08% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.46%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Adelaide United
27.08% ( -1.22)	20.48% ( -0.31)	52.44% ( 1.54)

Both teams to score 69.89% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.09% (

0.57)

27.92% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.36% (

0.71)

48.64% (

-0.7)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.68% (

-0.43)

21.32% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.73% (

-0.67)

54.27% (

0.67)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.83% (

0.62)

11.17% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.34% (

1.35)

35.66% (

-1.34)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 27.08%

Adelaide United 52.44%

Draw 20.48%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.22) 1-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 27.08%	1-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.63% Total : 20.48%	1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.46% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 3.54% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 2.29% ( 0.15) 1-5 @ 1.55% ( 0.12) 3-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 1.2% ( 0.08) 0-5 @ 1% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.3% Total : 52.44%